Will Geraint Thomas win another Grand Tour before retiring?
10
50
190
2025
29%
chance

This question will be resolved, if Thomas wins a General Classement in a Grand Tour or retires.

The closing date is the end of his new contract with Ineos Grenadiers. I will extend it, if necessary.

The Giro d'Italia, the Tour de France and the Vuelta a Espana are classified, under normal circumstances, as Grand Tours with 21 or 20 stages. For special occasions like a new GT or a shortened GT I will use my best judgement and clearify it in the comments.

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bought Ṁ5 of NO

He is still capable of winning a grand tour but the window is closing.

bought Ṁ5 of YES

@Eliza And he'll need some luck. He wasn't that far off at the Giro '23.

@Eliza I think it depends a lot on who ends up going to the Giro, but without Tadej, Jonas, Roglic and Remco, he has a decent chance

predicts NO

@egroj Specifically, the Giro 2024 seems like his best remaining career chance. If he chooses to go to the TDF instead, then 🤷

predicts YES

@Eliza Why not Giro or Vuelta 2025?

predicts NO

@Lion He'll be 39 years old by the end of the 2025 Giro....

predicts YES

@Eliza And Chris Horner was 41. I don't think it's impossible. One year shouldn't be that important. But I agree, Giro 2024 might be his best chance (if Tadej doesn't go)

predicts NO

@Lion or Remco...

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