What will my favorite problem on the 2024 USAMO be?
6
216
290
resolved Apr 1
100%25%
2
8%
1
30%
3
13%
4
6%
5
18%
6

I will not bet on this market. I will attempt to understand all of the main solution paths for each problem, then resolve the market to my favorite problem on the test.

Do not bet on this market after the beginning of the testing window until discussion of the test is allowed.

To inform bets, here are my [floor(n/2)] favorite problems, in order, from recent n-problem olympiads:

2024 RMM (6 problems): 1, 6, 3
2024 TST (6 problems): 3, 5, 1
2023 TSTST (9 problems): 9, 5, 8, 4
2023 APMO (5 problems): 2, 5
2023 RMM (6 problems): 6, 1, 4

Links to the above olympiads:
https://artofproblemsolving.com/community/c3771372_2024_romanian_master_of_mathematics
https://artofproblemsolving.com/community/c3683556_2024_usa_imo_team_selection_test
https://artofproblemsolving.com/community/c3375337_2023_usa_tstst

https://artofproblemsolving.com/community/c3380290_2023_apmo
https://artofproblemsolving.com/community/c3303738_2023_romanian_master_of_mathematics

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