Resolves YES if and only if at least 20 contestants receive at least a 5 on USAMO 2024/5 (not USAJMO 2024/6), according to https://web.evanchen.cc/exams/posted-usamo-statistics.pdf.
UPDATE 05/04: Evan recently revealed that exactly 1 point was earned on this problem among all JMO Top Honors and Honors contestants. This doesn't directly have any impact on this market, but it might give a clue.
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