Background
On October 12, 2024, UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson was assassinated in what appears to be a targeted attack. According to law enforcement, the suspect Luigi Mangione allegedly carried out a premeditated attack. As of October 15, 2024, there have been 58 incidents of school shootings in the United States this year.
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve YES if a CEO of any publicly traded company is assassinated before 5 separate school shooting incidents occur in the United States. It will resolve NO if 5 school shootings occur before any CEO assassination.
Will use mainstream outlet reporting for CEO killing and https://k12ssdb.org
for school stastistics. stastistics.
Update 2024-11-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - The CEO assassination must be of a US publicly traded company
The assassination must be widely believed to be targeting the CEO position as reported by mainstream media
Deaths from personal feuds, crimes of passion, petty crimes (like robbery) will not count as assassinations for market resolution
Update 2024-14-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - School shootings will be counted based on the following criteria:
Must occur on school property (including buildings, fields, parking lots, stadiums, buses)
Must involve at least one person being shot (not including the shooter)
Accidental discharges count if someone is shot
Does not count if the only shooter is law enforcement or school security
This definition aligns with the source used for the initial count of 58 incidents mentioned in the description
1,000