As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2025 Review resolves in February 2027.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post 6 reasons why “alignment-is-hard” discourse seems alien to human intuitions, and vice-versa is one of the top fifty posts of the 2025 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
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@mods what is the plan for the million markets of Less Wrong that clearly went AFK? His website also went AFK.
@JasonMendoza2008 Sending this mod ticket to admin for their review. This seems like a monster of a task.
@JasonMendoza2008 How many markets are actually in need of resolution and is the resolution unknown or straightforward? I am willing to do the mechanical task of resolving markets if there is a clean list to be done and it is just a manpower thing.
Otherwise if there are many dozens of markets that are unresolved we would have to ask @LessWrong to take care of them and if they never resolve we would restrict them from making more markets, but I doubt it has to come to that.