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I will resolve according to publicly available information and my best judgment.
Will be resolved at end of 2025 at the latest.
Update 2025-06-17 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the answer "Iran successfully bomb an Israeli power plant or offshore platform", the creator has specified:
An oil refinery is not considered a power plant.
The market refers to gas offshore platforms.
Update 2025-06-17 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the answer 'Iran successfully bomb an Israeli power plant or offshore platform', a power plant must be for civilian use.
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@Lemming Hasn't this happened already: https://www.timesofisrael.com/all-facilities-at-haifa-oil-refinery-shut-down-after-deadly-iran-missile-strike/
@Samaritan The Haifa oil refinery is substantial for diesel production in Israel, but is neither a power plant nor one of the gas offshore platforms. A destruction of one of these would be more devastating to the Israeli economy.
@Lemming Good point but the criteria isn't specific about the power generation being for civilian use. I dug into it a bit more and it seems the complex has its own on-site cogeneration power plant that produces both electricity and process-steam for the facilities.
based no that, technically a power plant was struck, which qualifies based on the text of that criteria. Though the spirit of that criteria is a power plant that powers civilian homes. I think it's fair to pick either interpretation. Thanks for push back which had me look at it more.