
Which of the following East Asian nations will be involved in a new or escalated military conflict by the end of 2024?
24
1kṀ3644resolved Jan 2
Resolved
NOChina
Resolved
NOTaiwan
Resolved
NOSouth Korea(Republic of Korea)
Resolved
NONorth Korea(Democratic People's Republic of Korea)
Resolved
NOJapan
The question resolves as YES to the options that correctly identify any military conflict involving the listed nations that occurred before or on December 31, 2024.
The market resolves to the option that correctly identifies any new or significantly escalated military conflict involving the listed nations that occur before or on December 31, 2024.
"New or significantly escalated military conflict" refers to a marked increase in armed engagements, new declarations of war, or major military actions that are distinct and more severe than the ongoing tensions or status quo as of the start of 2024.
The resolution will be based on credible and widely recognized international news sources.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ82 | |
2 | Ṁ76 | |
3 | Ṁ59 | |
4 | Ṁ41 | |
5 | Ṁ39 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Which of these military conflicts will escalate to war in 2025?
Will there be a military conflict between China and the United States by the end of 2025?
11% chance
Which countries will the United States be at war with by the end of 2025?
Will there be a conflict over the South China Sea between two claimant states by the end of 2025?
25% chance
Will the US and China be at war with each other before the end of 2025?
9% chance
Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2026?
16% chance
Taiwan-China Potential Conflict: which of these will happen first, before 2029? #1
Taiwan-China Potential Conflict: which of these will happen first, before 2029? #2
Will there be a conflict over the South China Sea between two claimant states by the end of 2035?
70% chance
Will there be a conflict over the South China Sea between two claimant states by the end of 2030?
66% chance