closesÂ
Jan 1, 2025Will "World War 3" have begun by 2025?
4%
chance
Resolves if, before 2025, it becomes general consensus that a third world war has begun. "World War 3" or "The Third World War" has to be the common popular term people are using to refer to it, especially e.g. world leaders, wikipedia page, etc. And it can't just be like, a one-off article in VOX or something, it has to be a pretty universal sentiment.
#War #Politics
If WW3 happens before 2025, then my M$ are meaningless. Therefore, the only profitable bet is "No".
0
A trader bought M$10 of NO from 10% to 9%5 months ago
A trader bought M$2 of YES from 9% to 10%5 months ago
A trader bought M$20 of NO from 10% to 9%5 months ago
A trader bought M$20 of NO from 11% to 10%5 months ago
A trader bought M$20 of NO from 12% to 11%5 months ago
A trader bought M$50 of NO from 16% to 12%5 months ago
A trader bought M$20 of NO from 19% to 16%5 months ago
A trader bought M$30 of NO from 25% to 19%5 months ago
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