Will AI agents be used to develop software commercially by the end of 2023?
Will AI be a major topic during the 2024 presidential debates in the United States?
In 2028, will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion?
Will there have been a noticeable sector-wide economic effect from a new AI technology by the end of 2023?
Will AI pass the Longbets version of the Turing test by the end of 2029?
Will the left/right culture war come for AI before the end of 2023?
Will any "Anti-AI art" law be created in any OECD country in 2023?
Will AI outcompete best humans in competitive programming before the end of 2023?
Will any "Anti-AI art" law be created in the USA in 2023?
Will Science's Top Breakthrough of the Year in 2023 be AI-related?
If the left/right culture war comes for AI in 2023, will the right be the pro-AI side?
🐕 Will A.I. Be Able to Make Significantly Better, "Common Sense Judgements About What Happens Next," by End of 2023?
Will an AI win Advent of Code? (2023)
Will anyone very famous claim to have made an important life decision because an AI suggested it by the end of 2023?
Will there be another major public-facing breakthrough in AI before March 31, 2024 [subjective - 1000M subsidy added]
Will a leading AI organization in the United States be the target of an anti-AI attack or protest by the end of 2023?
Will AI spread through malware before 2025?
Will there be another widely reported sentient AI by the end of CY2023?
If someone commits anti-AI-xrisk terrorism, will AI xrisk worries be generally marginalized afterwards?
🐕 Will A.I. Achieve Significantly Higher Performance Over "General Conceptual Skills" in 2023?