
Will China nerf its AI industry before the US does?
23
1kṀ20722031
74%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if China imposes any new restrictions or otherwise intentionally slows down AI progress, BEFORE the US does.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will the US ban AI models produced in China in 2025?
12% chance
By 2030 will China have reached AI flops/$ parity with the US?
37% chance
Will the US enact high-skilled immigration reform to help win the AI race against China?
29% chance
Will the US impose restrictions on training new advanced AIs before 2030?
12% chance
Will the US government enact legislation before 2026 that substantially slows US AI progress?
15% chance
[Metaculus] Will a Chinese firm make a large order of domestic AI chips before 2027?
92% chance
Will China get AGI first?
27% chance
Will the US enact export controls for some generative AI software before 2026?
80% chance
Will China beat the US in Robotics in 2030?
71% chance
Will the US implement software export controls for frontier AI models by 2028?
77% chance