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MANIFOLD
Will China nerf its AI industry before the US does?
23
Ṁ1kṀ2.2k
2031
67%
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Resolves YES if China imposes any new restrictions or otherwise intentionally slows down AI progress, BEFORE the US does.

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@LarsDoucet how does this relate to your resolution criteria? https://www.fasken.com/en/knowledge/2023/08/chinas-new-rules-for-generative-ai

China's New Rules For Generative AI: An Emerging Regulatory Framework
China’s emerging regulatory framework for AI continues to develop with the Interim Measures for the Management of Generative Artificial Intelligence Services.
predictedNO

@RobertCousineau I don't think you can really argue that anything in these new rules will 'nerf' or slow down AI progress in China. The intent is obviously to give the government tools to make sure people cannot use generative AI to produce content the gov deems illegal

I think based on the wording of "any new restrictions" this should resolve yes

@Thekla what new restrictions have been implemented? The draft below is awaiting comments until 11MAY2023.

predictedYES

@RobertCousineau oops, I read some other post that made it seem like a done deal

https://digichina.stanford.edu/work/translation-measures-for-the-management-of-generative-artificial-intelligence-services-draft-for-comment-april-2023/

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