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Creator is inactive. I will resolve this to NO.

Resolve?

@WieDan agree

Seems pretty clear that this qualifies
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/12/08/technology/eu-ai-act-regulation.html

@DavidFWatson The primary intent is not related to art, though

I suppose that's true

theta

Title doesn't match description. The description includes judicial rulings merely interpreting existing copyright law, but this doesn't count as creating new laws under the common understanding of those words, or even (I would argue) under an actual lawyer's understanding of those words.

Related market:
https://manifold.markets/LarsDoucet/will-any-antiai-art-law-be-created-49ae84eec213

https://www.gofundme.com/f/protecting-artists-from-ai-technologies?utm_campaign=m_pd+share-sheet&utm_content=undefined&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter&utm_term=undefined

Would you count the China law (https://arstechnica.com/information-technology/2022/12/china-bans-ai-generated-media-without-watermarks/) if it were in OECD?

@derikk From a surface impression yes, but of course it's not OECD. Will read the fulltext to make sure I have a complete understanding.

I would say that this market is extremely undervalued and for that reason I've just made a small bet. Any new law in any OECD country? There are 33 different OECD countries. Within these countries there are likely a thousand or more provincial/state divisions, and within that there are probably 10 to 50 county level divisions, and perhaps 1000 town-level divisions. So all we need is for a township in Bumwhatever, MT or Bumalegre, Colombia to post a law, in any language mind you, that happens to include some clause about the software company behind whatever AI-artwork needing to somehow do some act. This market states nothing about the actual enforceability of the law, just that the law was written.

@PatrickDelaney An example law could be, "all art submitted by any township employee to city social media, banners, website artwork display must disclose at the meeting minutes whether any art was created in such a way that art from original artists styles may have been utilized or derived from, or the software used in the creation of said artwork must clearly disclose that effect." Whether or not this is enforceable does not matter, and whether or not the burden on the software company is a large burden or not does not matter (e.g. the software company may already do what they are stipulating) ... all that matters is that a new law was put in place in any of the literally millions of jurisdictions out there within OECD countries.

@PatrickDelaney

This is a really good point and I’ve increased my position in this market to reflect it. Thanks :)

@PatrickDelaney I'd interpret the question in a way that this needs to be actually a general law that applies to everyone within the relevant jurisdiction. Your example is basically just an internal restriction the city is imposing itself (which might or might not be a law, depending on where it occurs and how it is implemented). I agree, though, that a this is not made explicit in the market description either way, so would be good to get clarity.

@PatrickDelaney Let’s say anything at the “federal” or “state/province” level for consistency with the other market.

@LarsDoucet All right well then I'm selling out because the market has been changed.

@PatrickDelaney fair enough

@LarsDoucet Interestingly though China just came out with a national anti-AI art law, but I'm not sure how you would interpret it, they stipulate that all AI art must have a watermark, one could say that's putting some of the burden on the software, because the software is going to want to automatically include that for the user if they aren't already - of course China is not an OECD country.

@PatrickDelaney Wow, that was fast! Yes, if they're going to stipulate that all software must legally have a watermark, that definitely burdens the software, and I would count that. But yup, China's not OECD, so we keep waiting.