[REDFIN] Will US home sales increase and end the year up 5%? | Manifold

[REDFIN] Will US home sales increase and end the year up 5%?

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resolved Jan 11

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This market resolves YES if US home sales will be up 5% year over year at the end of 2024. (Redfin says this means 4.3 million sales in 2024)

Context:

Redfin made seven predictions for 2024, I'm mirroring them here:
https://www.redfin.com/news/housing-market-predictions-2024/?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=earnedsocial&utm_campaign=1029869

This market will resolve based on Redfin's data.

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4.62 million U.S. homes sold through November 2024, a slight increase from last year but far below the 5.62 million sold in 2022. On average, 423,100 homes sold every month this year, beating last year’s 417,020.

Not a 5% YoY increase.

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