will m$ be declared by a regulator to be a security, commodity, money transmitter, or any other regulated asset, currency exchange, online gambling service, etc, before 2024?
33
140
Ṁ6.5KṀ650
resolved Dec 31
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if any regulatory agency asserts that manifold's currency is "real" in a way that would require making the significant changes that are implied by it being in an existing category of regulated service or asset. The significant changes aren't resolution criteria themselves, only the prerequisite step where a regulatory agency identifies that it is under their jurisdiction is required.
Close date updated to 2023-12-31 12:59 pm
Get Ṁ200 play money
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ84 | |
2 | Ṁ50 | |
3 | Ṁ20 | |
4 | Ṁ14 | |
5 | Ṁ11 |
Related questions
Will California legalise online gambling before the end of 2024
32% chance
Will the government come after Manifold for gambling on the site before 2026?
26% chance
Will investment firms be interested in prediction market platforms before the end of 2024?
63% chance
Will anyone in the US be prosecuted for betting in an illegal prediction market before 2026?
19% chance
Will real money prediction markets be legal in Singapore before the end of 2025?
11% chance
Will the CFTC file regulatory action against Manifold Markets for transactions involving the exchange of mana by 2025?
18% chance
Will real money political prediction markets be legal in the US before the end of 2025?
20% chance
Will the CFTC file regulatory action against Manifold Markets for transactions involving the exchange of mana by 2030?
36% chance
Will the United States have an official central bank digital currency by the end of 2038?
50% chance
Will Bitcoin mining be regulated in the US by the end of 2024?
20% chance