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Will there be widespread political unrest in the US in the summer of 2026 similar to summer of 2020?
11
Ṁ100Ṁ702
Aug 31
29%
chance

Subjective to my judgment unless I figure out better criteria.

2025 had widespread “”protests”” with No Kings and such with good turn out but they were more like political rallies with people cosplaying and bringing kids. The 2020 protests felt much more tense on the ground with genuine unrest and with direct confrontation with police. There were a few cities with flareups like Portland in 2025 but not really comparable to 2020 levels from my perspective.

Will 2026 reach 2020 levels or beyond? Or sit simmering at 2025 levels?

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Just want to clarify, since the title says “summer” but the description just says “2026”… if there are widespread protests in winter/spring but they have burned out by April and the summer is quiet… this resolve “No”, right?

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