Will there be at least 1 death due to political unrest on Oct 14, 2026 in the USA?
3
100αΉ1402026
15%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will there be mass protests on Oct 14, 2026 in the USA?
20% chance
Will 20+ people die in anti-Trump protests in 2025?
9% chance
Will there be another assassination of a US politician before the 2026 midterms?
45% chance
[Metaculus] Will there be major civil unrest or rioting in America before 2031?
67% chance
Will there be large-scale rioting in the US before 2026?
12% chance
Conditional on Trump/Biden winning the 2024 presidential, will there be a large scale rioting in the US before 2026 ?
Will there be large-scale rioting in the US before 2036?
95% chance
Will the US have state-sanctioned death squads by Jan 20th 2029?
15% chance
Will another US president be killed before 2060?
38% chance
Will the US undergo a major political crisis before 2027
55% chance