The dealers at Horseshoe Indianapolis Casino are currently on strike to establish fair union representation. Which of the following propositions will turn out to be true about the strike?

I am primarily using this prediction as a recruitment tool for bringing my coworkers onto the Manifold platform. My primarily objective on this platform is to teach the open source community how decentralized proposition markets can be used to game theoretically align the truth (denoted by a decentralized futarchic negotiation of moral realism). I believe my capacity to accomplish that would be increased if I had more IRL friends using this platform.

This is a mechanism orders of magnitude more disruptive than Bitcoin. More information can be found in my other predictions. My general aim with this prediction, is to teach those around me who are not familiar with the game theoretics of futarchy, network states, DAOs and decision markets, about how they can be used to decentrally negotiate terms of coordination by applying it to something important in their life.

I want them to write down what they want to be true about the union movement so they can have a place to see how likely those scenarios are, bet on whether they will occur, and see who else expects what to happen.

I think this could bring many users to Manifold, earn me some Mana/connections and help spread awareness of valuable mechanisms to the general public.

Will resolve as propositions are verifiable.