By when will the Whitehouse acknowledge the existence of non-human intelligence? | Manifold

By when will the Whitehouse acknowledge the existence of non-human intelligence?

3

175Ṁ380

resolved Sep 22

ResolvedN/A

2%

Jan 1st 2026

3%

Jan 1st 2027

5%

Jan 1st 2028

3%

Jan 1st 2029

9%

Jan 1st 2030

20%

Jan 1st 2050

58%Other

If the Whitehouse officially acknowledges that non-human intelligence exists and has been kept hidden from the public (official disclosure) all future dates will resolve "yes".

As dates pass in the absence of official public acknowledgement, they will resolve "no".

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This is a dependent market, so «all future dates will resolve "yes"» does not work, only exactly one option can resolve YES.

@4fa Thank you for pointing that out. I meant to create an independent market.

Updated market here: https://manifold.markets/Krantz/by-when-will-the-whitehouse-acknowl-5Uz5Ql5clh?r=S3JhbnR6

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By when will the Whitehouse acknowledge the existence of non-human intelligence?

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Will AI existential risk be mentioned in the white house briefing room again by May 2029?

If non-human intelligence is confirmed, was indisputable government-created evidence already in the public domain?

Will an AI avatar or virtual entity be appointed as White House Press Secretary before 2026?

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Related questions

By when will the Whitehouse acknowledge the existence of non-human intelligence?

Will the US President or UK Prime Minister confirm the existence of Non-Human Intelligence (NHI) before the end of 2025?

Will a US President (or Presidential Task Force) confirm an extraterrestrial or non-human intelligence by 2030?

Will non-human intelligence be confirmed before artificial general intelligence?

When will Biden publicly say the term 'AGI' (or 'Artificial General Intelligence')?

Will AI existential risk be mentioned in the white house briefing room again by May 2029?

If non-human intelligence is confirmed, was indisputable government-created evidence already in the public domain?

Will an AI avatar or virtual entity be appointed as White House Press Secretary before 2026?

Will the first sign of extraterrestrial intelligence be identified as an artificial intelligence by 2030?

In what year will human-level AI first exist?

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