Will there be restrictions on the sale of natural diamonds in any state by 2060?
4
30
110
2060
42%
chance

If there are additional restrictions to what exist now (if any do exist now) or bans in any US State at any time before 2060, resolve to YES. If the United States has stopped using the states system or has ceased to exist, resolve to NA. If not, resolve to NO. I may bet in this market.

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What sort of restrictions? I mean, arguably tariffs are restrictions, and most countries have tariffs on imported diamonds. Would increasing the tariff percentage trigger a YES resolution? And does it have to be specific to diamonds, or would any set of general barriers that affects diamonds also count?

@AndrewHartman Good questions, increasing tariff percentage would not trigger, as that is not a new restriction. General barriers would also not trigger, except in cases where the general barriers are to luxury goods considered unethical for various reasons. I will determine this intent through reading said restrictions and media coverage on them.

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