
Will there be a shortage of IT workers by the end of 2030?
Will there be a shortage of IT workers by the end of 2030?
19
1kṀ15862030
35%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Is it true that a lot of jobs (for programmers) will get lost due to developments in AI, as many claim? Or will the shortage of programmers get out of hand?
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
what do you think about using some metric for general IT salaries? in a jobs context, "shortage of X type of worker" is totally synonymous with "high prices for X type of worker"
What is the resolution criterion here? What does "the shortage will get out of hand" mean exactly?
@BrunoParga If more than 50% of IT-companies consider a shortage of IT talent to be a threat to them.
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
Will we see AI take over at least 100,000 jobs by 2027?
77% chance
Will software Web developers be a lower percentage of the workforce in the US in 2030 compared to 2022 ?
69% chance
Will the bureau of labor report that there were more computer programmers in the US in 2030 than 2023?
2% chance
Will all jobs become obsolete by 2030
5% chance
Will the unemployment rate among CS degree-holders rise to over 30% by 2030?
11% chance
Will some U.S. software engineers be negatively affected financially due to AI by end of 2025?
93% chance
Will there be more professional programmers at the end of 2024 than there were in 2023?
90% chance
Will I find AI to negatively impact my job opportunities as a coder by 2032?
84% chance
Will AI cause mass unemployment... by 2030 ?
22% chance
Will the number of human engineers in front end dev jobs be halved by 2030?
46% chance