Resolves YES if xAI officially announces and makes Grok 5 (or its direct successor explicitly named as such) publicly available before 11:59 PM UTC on May 31, 2026. This includes releases to Premium+/SuperGrok subscribers first, API access, or general public rollout. Resolves NO otherwise. Resolution sources: Official xAI blog posts (x.ai), verified announcements from @xAI or @elonmusk on X, or direct access confirmation. Beta/limited internal releases don't count unless made broadly accessible. Ambiguous cases resolved by mod discretion with community input.

Resolution criteria

Resolves YES if xAI officially announces and makes Grok 5 publicly available before May 1st, 2026. This includes releases to Premium+/SuperGrok subscribers, API access, or general public rollout. xAI announces releases via its News page and rolls out updates across grok.com, X, and mobile apps. Beta or limited internal releases do not count unless made broadly accessible to some members of the public. Resolves NO if Grok 5 is not released by the deadline.

Background

xAI released Grok 4 on July 9, 2025. xAI has confirmed that Grok 5 will arrive in the first quarter of 2026, with the model featuring 6 trillion parameters, double the size of its predecessors Grok 3 and 4. Grok 5 leverages real-time data from the X platform and a massive 1-million-GPU supercomputer named "Colossus."

Considerations

Technical challenges in scaling to one million GPUs could influence the final rollout. As of February 2026, there is no official launch date set in stone. xAI has a history of announcing ambitious timelines; Elon Musk announced on November 14, 2025, that xAI is delaying Grok 5 until 2026, with the initial release expected to occur shortly after Grok 4's July 2025 launch.

This description was generated by AI.