
Will an AI simulate human consciousness by 2100?
17
1kṀ3002100
75%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
I.e., create a model of the human brain that is widely believed to have replicated human consciousness.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Humanity Create a Consciousness-Emerging Universe Simulation by 2100?
34% chance
Will AI create utopia for humans by the year 2100?
48% chance
Will AI take over the world by 2100?
49% chance
Will I believe any AI system is conscious before 2027?
35% chance
Will AI be smarter than any one human probably around the end of 2025?
16% chance
Will AI surpass human intellect by 2030?
91% chance
Will a sentient AI system have existed before 2030? [Resolves to 2100 expert consensus]
43% chance
Human whole brain emulation before 2100?
82% chance
Will a sentient AI system have existed before 2040? [Resolves to 2100 expert consensus]
64% chance
Will artificial sentience be created by end of 2050?
58% chance