Will the FDA approve a drug for anti-aging use by the end of 2024?
11
169
230
2025
7%
chance

Resolves to true if there is a drug in this list for 2023 or 2024 that mentions age as the primary FDA-approved use, otherwise resolves false.

https://www.fda.gov/drugs/new-drugs-fda-cders-new-molecular-entities-and-new-therapeutic-biological-products/novel-drug-approvals-2023

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I consider the question ill-posed because "age" isn't one thing - it's many different things, many of which are forms of accumulative damage that your body doesn't know how to repair, and there are already drugs that target or prevent things like oxidative damage, sun damage, or increase cell turnover, etc. I think there will be more types of damage that drugs can prevent or repair in future, but it'll be a while before taking them reliably increases healthy years by a noticeable degree.

@GrahamPoulter I suppose I'll call that a "no", since I don't believe the FDA would just use "age" as a condition (as opposed to say "age-related presbyopia")