Starmer out before Badenoch?
7
1kṀ2862028
47%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolution will be by primarily by who makes a speech announcing their leaving their leadership (any leadership) position first? If Starmer does, resolves YES. If Badenoch does, resolves NO. If it is sufficiently obvious they are not leader any more, will resolve as well.
The market will be extended as necessary. Will not resolve before one goes.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
[ACX 2026] Will Keir Starmer cease to be Prime Minister of the UK during 2026?
16% chance
Who will be the next UK Prime Minister after Keir Starmer?
Starmer Out as UK Prime Minister before 2028?
65% chance
Keir Starmer Gone before Donald Trump?
70% chance
Will Kemi Badenoch be Leader of the Conservative Party on May 1st 2026?
80% chance
Will Kemi Badenoch lead the Conservative party into the next General Election?
22% chance
Will Kemi Badenoch be Leader of the Conservative Party On May 1st 2027?
35% chance
Keir Starmer Resignation Month
US Govt Sanctions Keir Starmer chief of staff?
17% chance
When will Keir Starmer be replaced as Prime Minister of the UK?