Russia annex Svalbard before EOY2027.
7
100Ṁ4362027
4%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
I will not play this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
@asmith Nothing dumber than fighting in a war for your country or another unless you own very significant assets that cannot be easily transferred somewhere else. "Suckers and losers", as Trump said.
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Russia invade Svalbard by EOY2035?
12% chance
Will there be any Russian attacks or troop deployments in Alaska before eoy2025?
6% chance
Will Russia be the de facto ruling power of the North Pole by 2027?
13% chance
Will Russia control Sakhalin on Jan 1st 2034?
33% chance
Will Russia militarily seize Narva, Estonia before the end of 2025?
2% chance
Will Russia take Poltava by EOY 2028?
23% chance
Will russia attack and/or occupy european NATO area until EOY2029? And if so, where will that happen first?
Will Russia control Irkutsk on Jan 1st 2032?
80% chance
Will Russia control Vladivostok on Jan 1st 2033?
76% chance
Will Russia militarily seize Narva, Estonia before the end of 2027?
6% chance