The Artemis mission will not take any human being to the moon in 2026
22
Ṁ1kṀ6.8kDec 31
98.6%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
[ACX 2026] Will NASA's Artemis II complete its mission successfully before 2027?
98% chance
Will Astronauts walk on the moon before the end of 2026.
2% chance
Will a human step foot on the moon in 2026?
1% chance
Will a human mission successfully land on the Moon again by the end of 2026?
1% chance
Will a human astronaut land on the moon before 2027 ?
2% chance
Which of these will successfully land on the Moon in 2026?
Will Artemis 3 be a crewed moon landing?
1% chance
Will Artemis III launch before 2027?
1% chance
How many rocket launches will be needed for the first Artemis human moon-landing mission?
Will NASA’s Artemis land the first woman and the first person of color on the moon?
43% chance
Sort by:
@XanLor thanks for the clarification. Do you want to reopen this market for trading, and set the close date to end of 2026?
People are also trading
Related questions
[ACX 2026] Will NASA's Artemis II complete its mission successfully before 2027?
98% chance
Will Astronauts walk on the moon before the end of 2026.
2% chance
Will a human step foot on the moon in 2026?
1% chance
Will a human mission successfully land on the Moon again by the end of 2026?
1% chance
Will a human astronaut land on the moon before 2027 ?
2% chance
Which of these will successfully land on the Moon in 2026?
Will Artemis 3 be a crewed moon landing?
1% chance
Will Artemis III launch before 2027?
1% chance
How many rocket launches will be needed for the first Artemis human moon-landing mission?
Will NASA’s Artemis land the first woman and the first person of color on the moon?
43% chance