Will National's party vote underperform opinion polling for the 2023 NZ General Election?
3
Ṁ70Ṁ296resolved Oct 14
Resolved
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Resolves YES if National underperforms the trend-line for opinion polling here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2023_New_Zealand_general_election
Otherwise resolves NO
Refer to the right axis points on the 2020 Election page as an example:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2020_New_Zealand_general_election
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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predictedYES
The final count is in:
National - 38.06% (opinion polling trend-line estimate ~36.9%)
Resolves NO
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