Will Te Pati Maori or Opportunity Party poll at 5.00% or more for the 2026 NZ election?
3
Ṁ250Ṁ553Nov 25
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
14%
Te Pati Maori polls at 5.00% or more in 3 or more polls?
6%
Opportunity Party polls at 5.00% or more in 3 or more polls?
resolves yes if TPM or Opportunity polls at 5.00% or more in 3 different polls (at least 2 different polling companies) in the 2026 Nov 7 NZ election.
Polls accepted:
RNZ-Reid Research
taxpayer union-curia
roy morgan
the post/freshwater strategy
1news-verian
Talbot Mills
More polls may be accepted, if they are added to wikipedia and arent a result of vandalism.
Win Prizes by trading on this market: https://manifold.markets/post/prize-pool-of-5500-mana-for-the-202
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Labour wins 20%+ of vote in next NZ general election?
99% chance
Which parties will exceed their 2023 party vote in the 2026 NZ Election?
Labour get over 21% of the vote in the 2026 NZ Election?
92% chance
Which Party finishes 6th place in the 2026 NZ election?
Will National recieve more party vote than Greens, ACT and NZ first combined in the 2026 NZ election?
62% chance
Largest party in the next New Zealand general election?
The Opportunities Party elected in 2026 New Zealand election?
21% chance
Te Pati Maori Party Vote Share 2026
2.41
Te Pati Maori win 3 or more electorates in next NZ election?
44% chance
Labour rules out Te Pati Maori for 2026 nz election?
16% chance