New Zealand's annual temperature anomaly (against a 1960-90 climate baseline) will not be below +1°C before 2030
Basic
2
Ṁ15
2030
52%
chance

Resolves YES if the annual temperature anomaly (against the 1960-1990 baseline period for long-term climate change assessments used by StatsNZ) is not recorded to be below +1°C in any years leading up but not including 2030.

Otherwise resolves NO

Resolution source: https://www.stats.govt.nz/indicators/temperature/

  • In particular this interactive graph will be used

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules