New Zealand's annual temperature anomaly (against a 1960-90 climate baseline) will not be below +1°C before 2030
Mini
2
15
2030
52%
chance

Resolves YES if the annual temperature anomaly (against the 1960-1990 baseline period for long-term climate change assessments used by StatsNZ) is not recorded to be below +1°C in any years leading up but not including 2030.

Otherwise resolves NO

Resolution source: https://www.stats.govt.nz/indicators/temperature/

  • In particular this interactive graph will be used

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