Trump approval rating 45.0% or higher on March 20th?
158
1kαΉ44kresolved Mar 23
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Market will resolve to YES if 45.0% or higher of Americans approve of Donald Trump's performance dated March 20th, 2025 (or next available data point after Mar 20th) on 538's approval tracker located here: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/
To account for lagging results as polling is not instantaneously released, the data will be checked three days later on March 23rd, 2025.
In the event that the 538 tracker is no longer available or updated, the RCP tracker here will be used as a substitute: https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/approval-rating
a
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000π Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | αΉ1,872 | |
| 2 | αΉ815 | |
| 3 | αΉ565 | |
| 4 | αΉ376 | |
| 5 | αΉ313 |
Sort by:
People are also trading
Related questions
Trump's approval rating increases by end of January 2026?
49% chance
If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 45% after one year in office?
1% chance
If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 40% after one year in office?
93% chance
Will Trump's approval rating return to 47%+ before his second term ends?
11% chance
When will President Trump's approval rating go below 38%?
Will Trump's approval rating be above 40% at the end of his second term?
25% chance
Trump's Republican approval below 80%?
57% chance