Trump approval rating 45.0% or higher on March 20th?
124
1kṀ28kMar 24
91%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Market will resolve to YES if 45.0% or higher of Americans approve of Donald Trump's performance dated March 20th, 2025 (or next available data point after Mar 20th) on 538's approval tracker located here: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/
To account for lagging results as polling is not instantaneously released, the data will be checked three days later on March 23rd, 2025.
In the event that the 538 tracker is no longer available or updated, the RCP tracker here will be used as a substitute: https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/approval-rating
a
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
If Trump is elected President in 2024, will he have an approval rating higher than 50% one year later?
14% chance
Will Trump's approval rating be above 40% at the end of his second term?
38% chance
👍👎 Trump Approval Rating [Market Index]
32% chance
If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 50% after one year in office?
8% chance
If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 40% after one year in office?
43% chance
Will Trump's approval rating fall below 40% in 2025?
85% chance
If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 45% after one year in office?
27% chance
What will be President Donalds Trump approval rating on December 31st, 2025?
Will Donald Trump’s approval rating be above 30 on April 1, 2025
99% chance
When will President Trump's approval rating go below 38%?