Will Russia stop or suspend issuing passports in consulates in 2024?
Basic
13
Ṁ911Dec 31
13%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if for at least 30 days during 2024 Russian citizens are denied from receiving passports in Russian consulates. Suspension for sufficiently large fraction of population, e.g. conscription age males, is enough to resolve YES while singular denials is not.
If it is unclear whether bans are "wide enough" this will resolve YES.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will Russia introduce new significant limitations on citizens leaving the country in 2024?
5% chance
Will Russia propose a ceasefire in 2024?
37% chance
Will Russia be broken up by the end of 2024?
2% chance
Will Russia revert legally changed gender markers of trans people by the end of 2024?
15% chance
Will the U.S. impose more sanctions on Russia in 2024?
86% chance
Will Russia open new front in 2024?
11% chance
Will Russia move the capital away from Moscow before the end of 2024?
2% chance
Will Russia implement a major nationwide forced military mobilization for the Ukraine war before EOY 2024?
6% chance
Will amendments be made to the Russian constitution in 2024?
6% chance
Will a territory with over 1 million people cease to be part of Russia by 2025?
3% chance