Will Mongolia be invaded by Russia or China before 2050?
Plus
17
Ṁ7852050
29%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Mongolia is currently landlocked by both nations. Resolves true if Russia or China (or their successor states) send troops into Mongolia, or if Mongolia agrees to be annexed by at least one of these before 2050.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
@AlexanderTurok As of me posing the question, Mongolia doesn’t have a defensive alliance with either country. Should that change, will only resolve to true if hostile troops enter the country.
Related questions
Related questions
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?
32% chance
Will Russia invade a new country by the end of 2030?
47% chance
By 2050, will any territory that was administered by Russia in 2013 be administered by China instead?
38% chance
Will China attempt to seize any region of Russia before 2046?
37% chance
Will China invade Taiwan before 2030?
30% chance
Will Russia be invaded by foreign troops (other than Ukrainian, >10000) before 2060?
20% chance
Will China invade Taiwan by 2035?
41% chance
China attacks or invades Russia's territory by mid 2028
10% chance
Will China annex any portion of Russia/Siberia by 2035?
20% chance
Will China invade Vietnam before 2030?
18% chance