Will Dmirty Medvedev outlive Vladimir Putin?
19
1kṀ3792100
70%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As a former President of Russia, Dmitry Medvedev is arguably the only alive person to have a legitimate claim to rule the country after Putin dies. Therefore he (arguably) poses a significant threat to Putin's regime security.
Resolves based on confirmed media reports of one or both of them being dead: YES if Medvedev lives for the whole next day after Putin dies, and NO otherwise.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
@AlexMennen why do you think this is a better claim than being a successor personally approved by Putin?
Related questions
Related questions
Will Vladimir Putin die in 2025?
7% chance
Will Putin die in office?
80% chance
Will Vladimir Putin outlive Xi Jinping?
33% chance
Will Putin outlive Biden?
70% chance
Will Dmitri Medvedev be the next president of Russia?
4% chance
Will Vladimir Putin outlast Volodymyr Zelenskyy?
15% chance
Will Putin die before 2030?
25% chance
When will Putin die?
Will Vladimir Putin be alive at the end of 2034?
50% chance
Will Vladimir Putin be alive at the end of 2035?
46% chance