This market resolves YES if another sovereign country send troops to fight either Russian or Ukrainian troops anywhere (including defending themselves from a new invasion), or if a broader military conflict erupts where Russia and Ukraine take opposite sides. Unrecognized countries do not count.

This market resolves NO if a permanent ceasefire is reached before then and no country has joined.

• Update 2025-03-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Intention to Fight Clarification

  • Intention is Key: Only troop deployments with the explicit purpose of engaging in combat will count as having "sent troops to fight."

  • Non-Qualifying Deployments: Troops deployed for other reasons (e.g., logistical support or non-combat roles) that later find themselves defending do not meet the criteria.