Will an AI system similar to Auto-GPT make a successful attempt to kill a human by 2030?
Plus
34
Ṁ16742031
28%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
By default resolves NO; the burden of proof is on the YES side.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
@tailcalled I think the main point is that it should arrive at this decision completely autonomously. Even if a specific task was given to the AI by humans, it is not one where killing a human is an expected outcome. E.g. military AI would not count but paperclip producing AI would.
Related questions
Related questions
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2040?
9% chance
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030?
8% chance
Before 2030, will an AI complete the Turing Test in the Kurzweil/Kapor Longbet?
59% chance
Will AI take over the world by 2100?
41% chance
Will an AI system be judged to have killed a human on its own initiative and for no other purpose by 2030?
26% chance
Will AI wipe humanity by 2030?
19% chance
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2060?
11% chance
Will AI surpass human intellect by 2030?
85% chance
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2600?
45% chance
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2025?
1% chance