When will Armenia and Azerbaijan have a full-scale war?
30
1kṀ9137
2028
0.2%
September 2023
0.3%
October 2023
0.6%
November–December 2023
0.6%
January–June 2024
0.6%
July–December 2024
36%
2025
13%
2026
49%
Not before 2027

Resolves to the earliest date when EITHER Armenia and Azerbaijan exchange military fire outside of the Nagorno-Karabakh region for a continuous period of two weeks or more, OR if military clashes between Armenia and Azerbaijan outside of Nagorno-Karabakh result in 100 or more cumulative casualties.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy