@JuJumper Extend please

@Shump extended

Is there any reason for predicting 5% probability in 2026 and 15% in 2025? Elections?

@mariopasquato

seems to be mispriced due to low number of traders, you are welcome to fix that :)

@JuJumper fixed

Armenia basically lost the conflict with barely any fighting. I don't think there's going to be war any time soon

Europe needs that gas - won't step in.

In the midst of hundreds of Armenians fleeing Nagorno-Karabakh, Azerbaijan's defence ministry said that an Armenian army sniper killed one if its servicemen in Kalbajar, and its forces were taking "retaliatory measures".

Armenia immediately denied the accusation.

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-66969845.amp