Will at least 67,000 people in the U.K. die from nuclear war in 2022?

28

22

Ṁ1.4K

Ṁ160

resolved Jan 1

Resolved

NO

1D

1W

1M

ALL

In the event of needing a body count, I'll refer to whichever estimates are available. If none are available I'll try to make a reasonable guess. For semi-attributable and delayed-attributable (e.g. some people starving due to infrastructure loss) I'll try to make inclusions if it seems obvious those deaths would not have happened without the nuclear exchange.

Get Ṁ200 play money

🏅 Top traders

#	Name	Total profit
1		Ṁ1
2		Ṁ0
3		Ṁ0
4		Ṁ0
5		Ṁ0

Sort by:

bought Ṁ1 of YES

I think nuclear war happens on average more than once in a hundred years.

bought Ṁ1 of YES

I think orobability of wrong resolution is above 0.2%.

Related in Paradox

If AI wipes out humanity, will mana still have value afterwards?

Will there be a violent revolution or Civil war in America by 2100?

See more Paradox questions

More related questions

If a nuclear weapon is used in combat before the end of 2023, will more than 20M die from war-related injuries over the next year?

Will nuclear war cause a global catastrophe killing at least 10% of humans before 2100?

Will a nuclear weapon explosion cause over 1,000 deaths before the end of 2050?

Will a war resulting in over one million fatalities within one year occur before 2025?

Will a nuclear war wipe out humanity by 2030?

Will a war resulting in over one million fatalities within one year occur before 2035?

Will a nuclear weapon explosion cause over 1,000 deaths before the end of 2030?

Will a nuclear weapon explosion cause over 1,000 deaths before the end of 2040?

Will a nuclear power incident cause 25 deaths (or equivalent) before 2030?

Will a nuclear weapon cause over 1,000 deaths in 2024?

Paradox questions

If AI wipes out humanity, will mana still have value afterwards?

Will there be a violent revolution or Civil war in America by 2100?

Related questions

If a nuclear weapon is used in combat before the end of 2023, will more than 20M die from war-related injuries over the next year?

Will a war resulting in over one million fatalities within one year occur before 2035?

Will nuclear war cause a global catastrophe killing at least 10% of humans before 2100?

Will a nuclear weapon explosion cause over 1,000 deaths before the end of 2030?

Will a nuclear weapon explosion cause over 1,000 deaths before the end of 2050?

Will a nuclear weapon explosion cause over 1,000 deaths before the end of 2040?

Will a war resulting in over one million fatalities within one year occur before 2025?

Will a nuclear power incident cause 25 deaths (or equivalent) before 2030?

Will a nuclear war wipe out humanity by 2030?

Will a nuclear weapon cause over 1,000 deaths in 2024?