MANIFOLD
If X is the Republican nominee for president in 2028, will they win the presidency?
2
Ṁ1.5kṀ379
2028
57%
Chris Sununu
50%
Doug Burgum
49%
Nikki Haley
45%
Brian Kemp
45%
Pete Ricketts
45%
Tucker Carlson
45%
JD Vance
45%
Donald Trump
45%
Ron DeSantis
45%
Vivek Ramaswamy
45%
Tim Scott
41%
Elise Stefanik
40%
Marco Rubio
35%
Kristi Noem
27%
Elon Musk

Once a nominee is chosen at the Republican convention, all non-nominees will resolve N/A, leaving only the nominee.

Then this market will convert to "Will NOMINEE win the 2028 presidential election?"

I reserve the right to remove or modify duplicates or joke answers.

Base rate:

Market context
US Politics
Politics
Trump
Elections
Democratic Party
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

People are also trading

Will the Republican candidate win the 2028 US presidential election?
If X is the Democratic nominee for president in 2028, will they win the presidency?
Who will be the Republican nominee for president in 2028?
Conditional on Trump being elected president in 2024, will a Republican also be elected in 2028?
41% chance
Will a Republican be elected president in 2028?
43% chance
Will a Republican win the US presidential election in 2024?/Will a Republican win the US presidential election in 2028?
Will the Republican presidential nominee in 2028 win any state Trump didn't win?
15% chance
Republicans win 2028 election?
43% chance
Who will be the Republican nominee for President in 2028?
Conditional on their 2024 nominee, will the Democratic candidate for president win in 2028?
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy