Can you be more specific? The CTC is currently a partially refundable $2,000. It was a fully refundable $3,000 ($3,600 for young children) in 2021. With no legislative action, it will fall to $1,000 in 2026.

@MaxGhenis added this sentence, is that clear? This will resolve to yes if legislative action is taken such that the CTC will not fall in 2026.

@Joshua__Hone Thanks that's clearer but do you specifically mean the $2,000 maximum? What if they make a smaller portion refundable, or require parents to have SSNs (they don't currently)?

@MaxGhenis extended at current rates or expanded resolves to yes, smaller than the status quo (1k) would resolve to no, there are plenty of other reforms possible that I'd consider immaterial to the question

@Joshua__Hone $1,000 or $2,000? It's currently $2,000, scheduled to fall to $1,000 in 2026.

@MaxGhenis Not sure how I can be more clear: if it is extended at 2k or more, the question resolves to yes. If it falls as scheduled (because Congress doesn't intervene), the question resolves to no.

@Joshua__Hone What if it's revised to fall between $1,000 and $2,000? I would suggest picking a single threshold.

@MaxGhenis The threshold is the status quo -- $2,000 -- as implied by the question extending the present, it not falling in the future, and clarity that anything smaller than the status quo would resolve to no

@Joshua__Hone Please then remove the AI-generated references to $1,000 in the description.