Will there be a physical collision between a PLA aircraft and an aircraft of another nation's military before 2025?
Basic
6
Ṁ362Jan 1
6%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If there is a lack of clarity about what occurred I will make a good faith attempt to determine it, using all available sources.
I will not bet in this market.
Definitions of PLA aircraft and other nation's militaries will be expansive rather than narrow.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will there be a physical collision between a PLA aircraft and an aircraft of another nation's military before 2027?
52% chance
Will there be a physical collision between a PLA aircraft and an aircraft of another nation's military before 2031?
59% chance
Will there be a physical collision between a PLA aircraft and an aircraft of another nation's military before 2035?
41% chance
Will there be a physical collision between a PLA aircraft and an aircraft of another nation's military before 2028?
41% chance
Will there be a physical collision between a PLA aircraft and an aircraft of another nation's military before 2026?
18% chance
Will a second Chinese military plane breach Japanese airspace during 2024?
33% chance
Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2025?
10% chance
Will there be a collision between US and Chinese navy vessels by the end of 2024?
10% chance
Will there be a second civil aviation airport collision with fatalities in 2024?
14% chance
Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2029?
51% chance