Will the US, Saudi Arabia and Israel reach a historic agreement within one year?
24
Ṁ2KṀ510
2024
13%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Amount
Ṁ0
Ṁ50
Ṁ100
Payout if YES
Ṁ72 +621.4%
New probability
14% +1.1%
Such an agreement must include the following:
-Saudi Arabia recognises Israel
-Israel makes concessions to Palestinians
-The US offers Saudi Arabia security guarantees
-The US offers Saudi Arabia civilian nuclear aid
As reported by WSJ
If a historic agreement is reached that fulfills the spirit of this question but not the exact criteria, I will resolve to 50%
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I was up for YES, until the "civilian nuclear aid" line. Israel wouldn't want another nuke country up its butt.

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