Will China have its first female General Secretary before Russia has its first female President?
12
1kṀ1872052
36%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question resolves to whatever the president or general secretary states to identify. [Meaning a trans woman would resolve to yes.]
If China or Russia splits up, this question will resolve according to the split with the biggest population.
If the countries further don't have a president or general secretary, I or a moderator are free to judge which position comes closest to it, and it will count as a matter for this question.
The closing time might be extended.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will China have its first female General Secretary before the US has its first female President?
12% chance
Will China have a female leader before 2060?
23% chance
Will Russia have its first female president before the US?
13% chance
Will Xi Jinping and Putin still be elected officials when US has Woman president?
19% chance
When will the first Politburo Standing Committee of the Chinese Communist Party to include a woman be chosen?
When will the next Politburo of the Chinese Communist Party to include a woman be chosen?
Will the 21st Politburo of the Chinese Communist Party, to be selected in 2027, include at least one woman?
47% chance
Will there be a female president of the United States before China and Taiwan go to war?
33% chance
Will the next leader of Russia after Putin be a woman?
8% chance
Who will be the first female president of the U.S.?