
Will Russia field Chinese main battle tanks in Ukraine before 2025?
Will Russia field Chinese main battle tanks in Ukraine before 2025?
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1kṀ6212resolved Jan 3
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There is growing speculation that Russia is running low on its huge stocks of Soviet era tanks. There is also speculation that the Russian economy will be unable to generate replacements. If so, China would be virtually the only option for Russia to acquire new tanks. Obviously, in geopolitical terms it would be a major step for China to do this, and it would be impossble to conceal the fact they had done so.
For the purposes of this question, the Al-Khalid/MBT-2000 counts as a Chinese tank.
Resolves YES on conclusive photographic evidence.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
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Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
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