Will Peter Mandelson be U.K. Ambassador to the U.S. on December 20 2026?
3
Ṁ100Ṁ949resolved Sep 12
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Update 2025-09-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Early resolution: The creator is resolving now based on their judgment that there is "no credible path" for Peter Mandelson to be U.K. Ambassador to the U.S. by 2026-12-20, rather than waiting until that date.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ66 | |
| 2 | Ṁ15 | |
| 3 | Ṁ8 |
People are also trading
Related questions
[ACX 2026] Will Keir Starmer cease to be Prime Minister of the UK during 2026?
58% chance
Kevin Rudd out as Australian ambassador to the US by EOY 2026?
99% chance
UK has new prime minister in 2026?
50% chance
Will Rory Stewart be a UK ambassador to any country by end of 2035?
21% chance
Which countries will the UK Prime Minister visit in 2026?
[Metaculus] Will the UK have a Labour Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?
41% chance
Will a fourth US Citizen become Prime Minister of another country before EOY 2035?
52% chance
Nigel Farage becomes UK Prime Minister before 2035?
36% chance
During the next Labour government, will there be a Foreign Secretary serving from the House of Lords?
14% chance
If this person is elected Deputy Leader of Labour in 2025, will the Prime Minister on January 1st 2030 be Labour?