Will China's next (fourth) aircraft carrier be nuclear-powered?
7
200Ṁ174
2030
79%
chance

Resolves YES or NO when a Chinese government body disseminates information that makes this question clear. We should not assume that this information will come any particular time, and it might be the case that it becomes an open secret, but resolution should still wait for official confirmation.

Would resolve NA if it became clear there will be no next aircraft carrier

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