Will China's next (fourth) aircraft carrier be nuclear-powered? | Manifold

Will China's next (fourth) aircraft carrier be nuclear-powered?

Basic

6

Ṁ144

2030

76%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves YES or NO when a Chinese government body disseminates information that makes this question clear. We should not assume that this information will come any particular time, and it might be the case that it becomes an open secret, but resolution should still wait for official confirmation.

Would resolve NA if it became clear there will be no next aircraft carrier

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#🇨🇳 China

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

The only country with a nuclear powered carrier other than the US is France and they only have one.

You can’t hide nuclear engines for satellites. The Chinese don’t have any nuclear powered naval ships as of today I don’t think. Even their submarines are diesel I believe.

@BTE As opposed to the US where 40 percent of our fleet is nuclear powered.

@BTE China has 22 nuclear powered submarines and zero surface ships.

Related questions

Will China have 4 aircraft carriers by the end of 2027?

Will China have 10 nuclear supertankers by 2030?

Will China complete their 24000 TEU Nuclear Powered Container Ship by Jan 1st 2032?

Will Taiwan build a new nuclear power station before 2040?

Will China double its nuclear arsenal to 1,000 warheads before 2030?

Will China have a nuclear supertanker by 2027?

Will China sink a US aircraft carrier before 2030?

Will China test a nuclear weapon before the end of 2025?

Will China conduct a nuclear test in 2024?

[Metaculus] Will a US aircraft carrier be destroyed in combat before 2030?

Related questions

Will China have 4 aircraft carriers by the end of 2027?

Will China have a nuclear supertanker by 2027?

Will China have 10 nuclear supertankers by 2030?

Will China sink a US aircraft carrier before 2030?

Will China complete their 24000 TEU Nuclear Powered Container Ship by Jan 1st 2032?

Will China test a nuclear weapon before the end of 2025?

Will Taiwan build a new nuclear power station before 2040?

Will China conduct a nuclear test in 2024?

Will China double its nuclear arsenal to 1,000 warheads before 2030?

[Metaculus] Will a US aircraft carrier be destroyed in combat before 2030?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules