Will China's next (fourth) aircraft carrier be nuclear-powered? | Manifold

Will China's next (fourth) aircraft carrier be nuclear-powered?

China•Military

6

10

Ṁ145

Ṁ200

2030

76%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves YES or NO when a Chinese government body disseminates information that makes this question clear. We should not assume that this information will come any particular time, and it might be the case that it becomes an open secret, but resolution should still wait for official confirmation.

Would resolve NA if it became clear there will be no next aircraft carrier

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The only country with a nuclear powered carrier other than the US is France and they only have one.

You can’t hide nuclear engines for satellites. The Chinese don’t have any nuclear powered naval ships as of today I don’t think. Even their submarines are diesel I believe.

@BTE As opposed to the US where 40 percent of our fleet is nuclear powered.

@BTE China has 22 nuclear powered submarines and zero surface ships.

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Will China report a deficit in foreign direct investment for at least 2 quarters in 2024?

Military questions

Will Americans' confidence in the military decline in 2024, according to Gallup?

Will the UAE bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2030?

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Will Australia own and operate any nuclear powered submarines by 2040?

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Will China have 4 aircraft carriers by the end of 2027?

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