Will a Taiwanese armed forces pilot defect to China with their aircraft before 2030?
4
17
Ṁ42Ṁ130
2029
29%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
Will a current US President visit Taipei before 2030?
30% chance
Will China bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?
78% chance
Will China invade Taiwan by 2035?
32% chance
Will Taiwan acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?
9% chance
Will Taiwan purchase fighter jets from a country which is not the US before 2035?
36% chance
Will there be a physical collision between a PLA aircraft and an aircraft of another nation's military before 2027?
40% chance
Will a Taiwanese, US, Filipino, Japanese or Vietnamese servicemember die confronting the China's military before 2025?
33% chance
Will there be a physical collision between a PLA aircraft and an aircraft of another nation's military before 2031?
59% chance
Will a Chinese armed forces pilot defect to Taiwan with their aircraft before 2030?
27% chance