Will a Chinese armed forces pilot defect to Taiwan with their aircraft before 2030?
7
16
Ṁ80Ṁ190
2029
27%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Includes PLAGF, PLAN and PLAAF pilots (also Rocket Force and Strategic Support Force if that's a thing)
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
Will Taiwan bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?
56% chance
Will China bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?
78% chance
Will Taiwan purchase fighter jets from a country which is not the US before 2035?
36% chance
Will there be a physical collision between a PLA aircraft and an aircraft of another nation's military before 2025?
21% chance
Will China engage in a full-scale blockade against Taiwan before the following years? (2035)
44% chance
Will Taiwan bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2030?
39% chance
Will China invade Taiwan by 2035?
32% chance
Will China invade Taiwan before 2030?
27% chance
Will either China or the United States shoot down a manned aircraft belonging to the other one before 2025?
12% chance