Which of Taiwan/ROC's 'diplomatic allies' will 'flip' to the PRC before 2028?
Basic
6
แน3042027
50%
Belize
20%
Eswatini
50%
Guatemala
80%
Haiti
50%
Marshall Islands
34%
Palau
51%
Paraguay
50%
Saint Kitts and Nevis
50%
Saint Lucia
25%
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
79%
Tuvalu
81%
Vatican City
After a period of detente in the Ma Ying-jeou years, Taiwan/ROC lost seven 'allies' to the PRC in Tsai's first term and two in her second term.
After the DPP won a third term, Nauru immediately flipped.
Resolves to all which are true
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
On careful reflection, I don't think so. The nature of the relationship is somewhat ambiguous and potentially outside of One China considerations.
Crucially, ROC MOFA doesn't list the country as such:
@TrickyDuck your comment is a useful reminder though that Somaliland should be considered and possibly question structures adopted that allow its inclusion
Related questions
Related questions
Will Taiwan/ROC lose a second 'diplomatic ally' in 2024?
35% chance
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2024?
20% chance
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2025?
45% chance
Will Taiwan lose any additional diplomatic allies before the end of 2024?
27% chance
Will Taiwan remain independent of China through 2049?
44% chance
Which of Taiwan/ROC's 'diplomatic allies' will be next to 'flip' to the PRC?
Will Taiwan/ROC gain any 'diplomatic allies' before 2027?
25% chance
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2028?
42% chance
Will Guatemala switch diplomatic recognition from ROC (Taiwan) to PRC (China) before 2025?
19% chance
Will the Vatican State stop its diplomatic relationship with Taiwan and establish one with China before 2027?
34% chance