Which of Taiwan/ROC's 'diplomatic allies' will 'flip' to the PRC before 2028?
Basic
6
Ṁ304
2027
50%
Belize
20%
Eswatini
50%
Guatemala
80%
Haiti
50%
Marshall Islands
34%
Palau
51%
Paraguay
50%
Saint Kitts and Nevis
50%
Saint Lucia
25%
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
79%
Tuvalu
81%
Vatican City

After a period of detente in the Ma Ying-jeou years, Taiwan/ROC lost seven 'allies' to the PRC in Tsai's first term and two in her second term.

After the DPP won a third term, Nauru immediately flipped.

Resolves to all which are true

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Somaliland should be on this list.

@TrickyDuck

On careful reflection, I don't think so. The nature of the relationship is somewhat ambiguous and potentially outside of One China considerations.

Crucially, ROC MOFA doesn't list the country as such:

https://en.mofa.gov.tw/AlliesIndex.aspx?n=1294&sms=1007

@TrickyDuck your comment is a useful reminder though that Somaliland should be considered and possibly question structures adopted that allow its inclusion

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