When will the UK join the European Single Market or the European Union Customs Union?
Basic
7
Ṁ2262050
2,036
expected
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves NA if the UK has not joined either by the end of 2050
Resolves to the year that the UK officially joins either of the two, not when such a decision is taken.
In both cases, the determinant of whether this has taken place will be the Wikipedia entry.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/European_single_market
Wikipedia allows for the fact that non-EU countries in the Single Market may have certain exceptions or carve outs.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/European_Union_Customs_Union
There are non-EU countries that are in the EU Customs Union (like Monaco) and there are non-EU countries that are in a customs Union with the EU (like Turkey. This questions takes the definitive view that the later case 'counts'.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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