Resolution criteria
This market resolves to YES if, during her visit to China (April 7–12, 2026), KMT Chair Cheng Li-wun explicitly states her support for the unification of Taiwan and China in any official meeting, joint statement, or press conference with Chinese President Xi Jinping.
Support can be caveated (in the future, if China becomes a democracy etc)
Statements of One China policy, of 1992 Consensus, and rejections of independence do not count. It must be clear she is referring to a change in the status quo.
The market resolves to NO if:
A meeting occurs, but Cheng Li-wun does not explicitly express support for unification.
Cheng Li-wun explicitly opposes or rejects unification during the trip.
Verification will be based on official transcripts, press releases from the KMT or the Chinese government, or reporting from major, reputable news outlets (e.g., Reuters, Associated Press, CNA, Taipei Times).
Background
KMT Chair Cheng Li-wun is currently on a six-day "peace tour" of China (April 7–12, 2026), visiting Jiangsu, Shanghai, and Beijing. While a meeting with Chinese President Xi Jinping is widely anticipated by analysts and media, it has not been formally confirmed as of April 8, 2026.
Cheng, who assumed the KMT chairmanship in November 2025, has advocated for a policy of proactive dialogue with Beijing to reduce cross-strait tensions, explicitly criticizing the ruling Democratic Progressive Party's (DPP) approach. She has maintained support for the "1992 Consensus"—a tacit understanding between the KMT and the CCP that both sides acknowledge "one China," while allowing for different interpretations of that term. Her visit is being closely watched as a significant moment in cross-strait diplomacy and for the KMT's internal political positioning.
This description was generated by AI.
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https://www.geopolitechs.org/p/the-xi-cheng-li-wun-meeting?utm_source=%2Finbox&utm_medium=reader2
close but not close enough ~
NBC
Thank you, Madam Chairwoman. When we spoke recently, you said that this trip was about seeking reconciliation with the Mainland as the best way forward for Taiwan. Having made this trip and having met with President Xi, would you now say that you share his goal of unification for Taiwan? Is that the way forward?
Cheng Li-wun
I think that, throughout today’s talks, what was truly highlighted and valued was the sense of kinship that comes from belonging to the Chinese nation. As I mentioned earlier, General Secretary Xi in fact recognised and respected Taiwan’s different way of life and system, and also hoped that this would be reciprocal—that Taiwan, too, would respect and acknowledge the Mainland’s development achievements. He also specifically said that he hopes there will be no conflict across the Strait, and that in the future both sides, as one family, can engage in more exchanges and grow closer to one another.
He also said that the freeze did not happen overnight. This requires a sustained process of effort, and it requires firm hope for the future, so that both sides may strive together in solidarity to realise the great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation. So, in this process, matters must be handled one by one, every issue addressed one by one, and the road walked step by step.
I think that, on this point, General Secretary Xi and I were both very pragmatic, and both hope to proceed step by step, just as I said earlier. At the very outset, General Secretary Xi in fact said that although social systems and political propositions may differ, our common ancestors and the bloodline of the nation cannot be severed; differences in social systems should not be used as an excuse for division.
I believe this was a very important expression of goodwill. We must face pragmatically the many differences that have arisen over the long course of cross-Strait history. But Taiwan’s achievements today and the Mainland’s achievements today are both great and remarkable achievements of the Chinese nation. We can appreciate one another, respect one another, and even learn from one another. In the future, there are even greater opportunities for cooperation, so that the achievements both sides have already attained may be expanded further, to benefit not only both sides of the Strait, but humanity as a whole.
So, in answer to your question, we hope to consolidate and strengthen a peaceful and stable relationship. On that basis, we should handle matters one by one and move forward steadily, step by step. Thank you.
Can you resolve the market please?
@JoshuaWilkes which I can likely do tomorrow. I have closed the market in the meantime to stop people trading on uncertainty.