Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if, during her visit to China (April 7–12, 2026), KMT Chair Cheng Li-wun explicitly states her support for the unification of Taiwan and China in any official meeting, joint statement, or press conference with Chinese President Xi Jinping.

Support can be caveated (in the future, if China becomes a democracy etc)

Statements of One China policy, of 1992 Consensus, and rejections of independence do not count. It must be clear she is referring to a change in the status quo.

The market resolves to NO if:

• A meeting occurs, but Cheng Li-wun does not explicitly express support for unification.

• Cheng Li-wun explicitly opposes or rejects unification during the trip.

Verification will be based on official transcripts, press releases from the KMT or the Chinese government, or reporting from major, reputable news outlets (e.g., Reuters, Associated Press, CNA, Taipei Times).

Background

KMT Chair Cheng Li-wun is currently on a six-day "peace tour" of China (April 7–12, 2026), visiting Jiangsu, Shanghai, and Beijing. While a meeting with Chinese President Xi Jinping is widely anticipated by analysts and media, it has not been formally confirmed as of April 8, 2026.

Cheng, who assumed the KMT chairmanship in November 2025, has advocated for a policy of proactive dialogue with Beijing to reduce cross-strait tensions, explicitly criticizing the ruling Democratic Progressive Party's (DPP) approach. She has maintained support for the "1992 Consensus"—a tacit understanding between the KMT and the CCP that both sides acknowledge "one China," while allowing for different interpretations of that term. Her visit is being closely watched as a significant moment in cross-strait diplomacy and for the KMT's internal political positioning.

This description was generated by AI.