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MANIFOLD
Will KMT Chair Cheng Li-wun meet in person with Donald Trump before 2027?
1
Ṁ100Ṁ20
Dec 31
41%
chance

Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if KMT Chairperson Cheng Li-wun meets in person with Donald Trump at any time on or before December 31, 2026. Otherwise, it resolves to NO.

Resolution will be based on verifiable reporting from reputable international or Taiwanese news organizations (e.g., Reuters, Associated Press, Taipei Times, Central News Agency) confirming that an in-person meeting between the two individuals has occurred. A photographic record or official statement from the KMT or the Trump administration confirming the encounter will be considered conclusive evidence.

Background

Cheng Li-wun assumed the role of Chairperson of the Kuomintang (KMT), Taiwan's main opposition party, on November 1, 2025. Her leadership has been characterized by a platform emphasizing cross-strait dialogue and a critical stance toward the ruling Democratic Progressive Party (DPP). As of April 2026, Cheng is leading a delegation to mainland China to engage in discussions regarding cross-strait relations. Given the geopolitical significance of Taiwan-US-China relations, the prospect of high-level meetings between Taiwanese political leaders and US officials, including Donald Trump, is a subject of significant international attention.

This description was generated by AI.

Market context
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